Thursday, July 25, 2013

How To Predict Forex Price Reversals

By Frank Jones


In forex trading, large price movements are usually caught by pinpointing when reversals are about to occur. A trader can pick tops or bottoms based on various technical signals seen on forex price charts then take a long-term position to make profits off the entire move. Here are some ways to spot reversals in forex trading:

The first way is to take a look at chart patterns. These formations have been observed to result in price reversals, especially if the confirmation signs are given. One example of a chart pattern that hints at a reversal is the double bottom. This pattern is formed during a downtrend and signals an upcoming uptrend if the neckline is broken. Conversely, a double top is formed during an uptrend and signals a potential downtrend if the neckline is also broken. Another example of a chart pattern that signals a reversal is the head and shoulders. The regular head and shoulders pattern is formed during an uptrend while the inverse head and shoulders pattern is formed during a downtrend.

Another way to spot reversals is to take a look at candlestick formations on long-term charts. In particular, traders are watchful of doji formations, which is a good indicator of a market reversal. This is formed when the candle closes at the same price that it opens. The spinning top is also an excellent reversal signal, as it is formed with a small body and long wicks. A hanging man formation is formed in an uptrend and shows that a downtrend could happen next while a hammer is made during a downtrend and hints that an uptrend will take place later on.

Lastly, technical chart indicators are also useful in identifying reversals. Momentum indicators or oscillators can both be used, although it could lead to better results when they are used in tandem. As an example, stochastic in the oversold region shows that the selling pressure is exhausted and that an uptrend might take place. Stochastic in the overbought region shows that buying pressure is overdone and that a selloff might happen.

Combining these three kinds of reversal spotting methods can help increase the odds of being right, especially when the parameters are correct.




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