Friday, June 14, 2013

Think Right When You Bet

By Morgan Biscoley


Most people does the same mistake when they are betting. They bet with their intuition, either do they have a favorite team, or a player, or a number. Or the worst, they "feel" the right bet.

Why is that so? Well, basically it is in our human nature. The main reason that human kind has come to where it is today is because of the ability to feel.

The human race has survived because of their instincts, if it did feel right to do one way, they went that way. Was it the right choice, they'd survive. The evolution hadn't come this far if it wasn't for the ability to make the right choices, with a sense of instinct to back you up.

And now you really are wondering how this can be related to betting. Let me explain.

As I said, the human race survived because of their ability to feel, but also by developing a mind that was able to learn form previous events. If a thing had worked before, it would work again, probably. And with the evolution to lean on, the individuals who was capable to make the best decisions in would survive.

The intuition is our best friend in those situations. Therefore it has always been an advantage to "feel" what to do.

But when you're applying this instinct to betting, this same intuition very often will lead you the wrong way. You would filter everything through those feelings and make decisions from that, rather than taking the actual circumstances into a count.

Starting to get it? You must do this instinct to your friend and use it instead of fight against it. To do so, you have to do research. Take real statistics and get everything black on white. That way you can make the right decisions and bets based on the true facts, and not what you "feel" is right. So what you really need is a statistics base. Because what happened in the past will repeat itself. Again and again.

So where to find statistics? Think for a moment where you could easily find these statistics, and remember that both new stats and old stats are important. Not only the recent few games that have been played.

To help you out there are some good programs that will help you, which provides you with good base of statistics. These will provide you with facts, and make it easy to know what to expect from those single events you want to bet on. It's easy to make money on betting when your well prepared.




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